price-watch: refresh Cabo live pricing

price-watch/latest-report.md

@@ -1,45 +1,39 @@
-# Cabo Price Watch - 2026-06-08
+# Cabo Price Watch - 2026-06-10
 
 Trip window: 2027-02-03 through 2027-02-07 (4 nights)
 
 ## Biggest Changes
 
-- Breathless room-only floor is now $551/night on Expedia, up from the earlier $381/night floor.
-- Grand Fiesta Americana room-only floor is now $480/night on Expedia, up from $212/night.
-- Hard Rock room-only floor is now $436/night on Expedia, up from $277/night.
-- Nobu room-only floor is now $479/night on Expedia, up from $294/night.
-- Grand Velas room-only floor is now $903/night on Expedia, down from $1,135/night.
-- Taboo pool island is now $910, up from $884.
-- Cabo ATV Tour & Desert Adventure is now $91, up from $78.
-- Off Road UTV Tour is now $139, up from $119.
-- Outdoor Adventure 4x4 + Cabo Zipline + Rappel is now $97, up from $89.
-- Camels + ATV + Lunch is now $110, up from $101.
+- CheapCaribbean's current Los Cabos package ladder is lower across the main RIU/Breathless/Secrets set than the prior run: Riu Santa Fe is now $784 pp, Riu Palace Baja California $997 pp, Dreams $895 pp, Riu Palace Cabo San Lucas $941 pp, Secrets $1,075 pp, and Breathless $1,017 pp.
+- Apple Vacations' Los Cabos package floors are higher than the last pass: Riu Palace Baja California is $841 pp, Dreams $874 pp, Pueblo Bonito Los Cabos Beach Resort $879 pp, Sandos Finisterra $911 pp, Breathless $993 pp, Paradisus $1,152 pp, and Grand Velas $2,544 pp for 3 nights.
+- KAYAK's route-floor signals moved down: LAX-SJD shows a $320 round-trip floor and ONT-SJD shows a $302 round-trip floor.
+- Current hotel-only floors remain in place or moved only slightly: Breathless $381/night, Grand Fiesta Americana $212/night, Secrets $305/night, Hard Rock $277/night, Nobu $294/night, Solmar $84/night, Hyatt Ziva $314/night, Corazon $68/night, and Grand Velas $1,135/night.
+- Quivira's current winter pricing is lower than the prior anchor for the Feb trip window: twilight is now $275, with Palmilla still visible at $252.89 for a 18-hole morning rate and Cabo San Lucas Country Club at $183.60 twilight.
+- Cabo Bash now exposes a deeper yacht ladder and more clear bachelor-party activity pricing, including 32ft Sea Ray $230/hour, 34ft Bayliner $360/hour, 44ft Sea Ray $450/hour, 75ft Sunseeker $2,300/hour, Sunset Booze & Dinner Cruise $95 pp, and ATV / off-road options from $140-$190 pp.
 
 ## Stable Anchors
 
-- CheapCaribbean package floors remain at $568 per person for Riu Santa Fe through $1,332 per person for Hard Rock Hotel Los Cabos.
-- Expedia flight route floors remain about $340 LAX-SJD and $396 ONT-SJD.
-- Country Club, Palmilla, and Quivira golf anchors remain at $183.60, $213.98, and $275.
-- Oceanus Sunset Party Cruise remains $62 and the low-cost nightlife anchors still sit at Nowhere Bar $50 and Cabo Wabo $155.
+- No sold-out items were visible in this pass.
+- The cheapest current standalone hotel floor remains Corazon at $68/night.
+- The most useful lower-mid hotel anchors remain Solmar at $84/night and Grand Fiesta Americana at $212/night.
+- The standalone golf baseline still has a cheap end and a premium end: Cabo San Lucas Country Club at $183.60 and Quivira at $275 twilight for the target-season comparator.
 
 ## Missing Or Gated
 
-- Costco Travel package totals are still login-required; Hacienda del Mar and Hard Rock package totals were visible only up to the continue step.
-- Apple Vacations package pages still show Get Price / quote-only flows for Breathless, Grand Fiesta Americana, and Secrets.
-- No sold-out items were visible in this run.
-- Direct in-app browser navigation to KAYAK and Expedia was blocked, so the refreshed hotel floors came from public search-result snippets and accessible result pages.
+- Costco Travel remains login/continue-gated for the exact Cabo package flow.
+- Apple and CheapCaribbean exposed live package floors, but the page snippets showed best-priced departure dates rather than a target-trip Feb 3-7, 2027 quote.
+- The current browser surface did not expose a date-matched Google Flights quote in this pass, so flights are represented by the live KAYAK route-floor signals.
 
 ## New Options Worth Adding
 
-- Hyatt Ziva Los Cabos and Riu Palace Cabo San Lucas remain strong standalone hotel candidates.
-- La Vaquita gold and Clandestinna deposit are new nightlife options worth tracking.
-- Tierra Sagrada Beach & Adventure Park at $209 adds a stronger bundle-friendly excursion option.
-- Private luxury whale watching at $3,009.30 and private luxury sailing at $2,799 expand the top-end group excursion set.
+- Cabo Bash 32ft Sea Ray, 44ft Sea Ray, 50ft Azimut, 60ft Azimut, 75ft Sunseeker, 80ft Sunseeker Manhattan, 80ft Ferretti, and 100ft Maiora yacht cards.
+- Cabo Bash Sunset Booze & Dinner Cruise, Luxury Sunset Sailing, Flyboard, Jetboard, Jet Skis, Snorkel/SUP/Kayak combo, Whale Shark encounter, and Camel Ride / ATV / Zip Line / Electric Bike adventure cards.
+- The Cabo Agency La Vaquita booth and tiered table options should stay visible alongside Mandala, Taboo, and El Squid Roe.
 
 ## Budget Impact
 
-- Budget path stays about $819.85 pp or $6,558.80 for 8.
-- Balanced path lands about $1,447.48 pp or $14,474.80 for 10.
-- Splurge path lands about $2,027.94 pp or $24,335.30 for 12.
-- Package-vs-standalone caveat: package prices already bundle flight and hotel, so do not stack separate flight or hotel costs on top unless a package explicitly excludes them.
-- Current standalone hotel floors are public quote snapshots, not exact Feb 3-7, 2027 searches, so treat them as current market floors rather than date-matched stay totals.
+- Budget path is now about $1,126.60 pp or $9,012.80 for 8 using Riu Santa Fe, Country Club, the electric-bike adventure, and a no-cost Bagatelle reservation.
+- Balanced path is about $1,500.00 pp or $15,000.00 for 10 using Breathless, Quivira, the 34ft Bayliner, and a La Vaquita platinum table.
+- Splurge path is about $3,570.83 pp or $42,849.96 for 12 using Grand Velas, Quivira, the 75ft Sunseeker, and a Taboo cabana.
+- Package-vs-standalone caveat: package prices already bundle flight and hotel, so separate flight or hotel costs should not be added on top unless the package explicitly excludes them.
+- Relative to the prior run, budget and balanced are lower, while splurge is effectively flat because the higher Grand Velas package floor offsets the cheaper Quivira and nightlife/yacht inputs.