Refresh Cabo price watch report

price-watch/latest-report.md

@@ -1,46 +1,45 @@
-# Cabo Price Watch Report
+# Cabo Price Watch - 2026-06-08
 
-- Date checked: 2026-05-04T19:26:07Z
+Trip window: 2027-02-03 through 2027-02-07 (4 nights)
-- Status: live pricing refresh completed
 
 ## Biggest Changes
 
-- Flights moved down versus the prior ONT seed anchor. KAYAK’s cheapest visible LAX -> SJD fare is $274 RT pp, with the best nonstop at $377 RT pp.
+- Breathless room-only floor is now $551/night on Expedia, up from the earlier $381/night floor.
-- Golf is mixed to higher. Palmilla is visible at $140, Cabo Real is visible at $160 on a marketplace result and $190 on the official rate page, and Quivira is visible at $395+.
+- Grand Fiesta Americana room-only floor is now $480/night on Expedia, up from $212/night.
-- Excursions now have a cleaner live floor. Viator whale watching starts at $60, with higher-finish options at $79.65, $99, $80, and $266.23.
+- Hard Rock room-only floor is now $436/night on Expedia, up from $277/night.
-- Nightlife/day-club pricing is now visible. Casa Dorada’s day pass is $110, OMNIA shows MX$1,000+, and Cabo Party Fun shows a $1,080 group pool-party option.
+- Nobu room-only floor is now $479/night on Expedia, up from $294/night.
-- Apple Vacations package cards are visible again, but they are 3-night package quotes, not exact Feb 3-7, 2027 date matches.
+- Grand Velas room-only floor is now $903/night on Expedia, down from $1,135/night.
+- Taboo pool island is now $910, up from $884.
+- Cabo ATV Tour & Desert Adventure is now $91, up from $78.
+- Off Road UTV Tour is now $139, up from $119.
+- Outdoor Adventure 4x4 + Cabo Zipline + Rappel is now $97, up from $89.
+- Camels + ATV + Lunch is now $110, up from $101.
 
-## Live Pricing Snapshot
+## Stable Anchors
 
-| Category | Current live anchors |
+- CheapCaribbean package floors remain at $568 per person for Riu Santa Fe through $1,332 per person for Hard Rock Hotel Los Cabos.
-| --- | --- |
+- Expedia flight route floors remain about $340 LAX-SJD and $396 ONT-SJD.
-| Flights | Viva Zero $274 RT pp, Delta Main Basic $377 RT pp, Alaska Saver $408 RT pp, American Main Cabin $483 RT pp |
+- Country Club, Palmilla, and Quivira golf anchors remain at $183.60, $213.98, and $275.
-| Standalone hotels | Hyatt Place Los Cabos $2,154 total, Hilton Vacation Club Cabo Azul $6,969 total, Le Blanc $25,451 total, Casa Maat $28,667 total |
+- Oceanus Sunset Party Cruise remains $62 and the low-cost nightlife anchors still sit at Nowhere Bar $50 and Cabo Wabo $155.
-| Package cards | Riu Santa Fe $404 pp, Dreams $568 pp, Sandos Finisterra $649 pp, Grand Fiesta Americana $805 pp, Hyatt Ziva $788 pp, Paradisus $854 pp, Grand Velas $2,284 pp |
+
-| Golf | Palmilla from $140, Cabo Real from $160 or $190, Cabo del Sol from $290, Quivira from $395 |
+## Missing Or Gated
-| Nightlife/day clubs | Casa Dorada day pass $110, OMNIA MX$1,000+, Cabo Party Fun $1,080 for 1-8 people |
+
-| Excursions | Whale watching from $60, glass-bottom whale tour $79.65, humpback whale tour $99, open-ocean safari $266.23 |
+- Costco Travel package totals are still login-required; Hacienda del Mar and Hard Rock package totals were visible only up to the continue step.
+- Apple Vacations package pages still show Get Price / quote-only flows for Breathless, Grand Fiesta Americana, and Secrets.
+- No sold-out items were visible in this run.
+- Direct in-app browser navigation to KAYAK and Expedia was blocked, so the refreshed hotel floors came from public search-result snippets and accessible result pages.
 
 ## New Options Worth Adding
 
-- Hyatt Place Los Cabos as the current low-cost exact-date hotel anchor.
+- Hyatt Ziva Los Cabos and Riu Palace Cabo San Lucas remain strong standalone hotel candidates.
-- Hilton Vacation Club Cabo Azul as a midrange standalone resort anchor.
+- La Vaquita gold and Clandestinna deposit are new nightlife options worth tracking.
-- Le Blanc Spa Resort Los Cabos and Casa Maat at JW Marriott as splurge hotel anchors.
+- Tierra Sagrada Beach & Adventure Park at $209 adds a stronger bundle-friendly excursion option.
-- Casa Dorada day pass and Cabo Party Fun pool parties as new nightlife/day-club options.
+- Private luxury whale watching at $3,009.30 and private luxury sailing at $2,799 expand the top-end group excursion set.
-- Apple Vacations package cards for Dreams, Riu Santa Fe, Grand Fiesta Americana, Sandos Finisterra, Hyatt Ziva, Paradisus, and Grand Velas.
 
-## Caveats
+## Budget Impact
 
-- Apple Vacations package cards are bundle-friendly, but the visible prices are 3-night package quotes and are not exact Feb 3-7, 2027 matches.
+- Budget path stays about $819.85 pp or $6,558.80 for 8.
-- Booking.com hotel prices are exact-date stay totals for Feb 3-7, 2027 and are the best standalone hotel anchors in this run.
+- Balanced path lands about $1,447.48 pp or $14,474.80 for 10.
-- I did not hit any sold-out state in the live results.
+- Splurge path lands about $2,027.94 pp or $24,335.30 for 12.
-- I did not need any login-required source in this pass.
+- Package-vs-standalone caveat: package prices already bundle flight and hotel, so do not stack separate flight or hotel costs on top unless a package explicitly excludes them.
-
+- Current standalone hotel floors are public quote snapshots, not exact Feb 3-7, 2027 searches, so treat them as current market floors rather than date-matched stay totals.
-## Impact On Recommendations
-
-- Budget: about $737.86 pp, or $5,902.86 for 8 people.
-- Balanced: about $1,298.79 pp, or $12,987.86 for 10 people.
-- Splurge: about $3,142.16 pp, or $37,705.90 for 12 people.
-- The current budget and balanced tracks are still driven more by flight and hotel than by activities.
-- The splurge track is dominated by the Le Blanc hotel rate and Quivira golf.