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Refresh Cabo price watch data

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TopherMayor
2026-06-07 11:05:34 -07:00
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price-watch/history.jsonl
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price-watch/latest-report.md
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# Cabo Price Watch - 2026-06-07
- Checked the `2027-02-03` through `2027-02-07` window against the latest repo baseline and live public quote surfaces.
- No move cleared the `materialPriceChangeUsd` threshold from the last snapshot; the core hotel and flight floors were broadly stable.
- Standalone hotel anchors remain: Grand Velas Los Cabos at `$1,135/night` (`$4,540` stay total), Secrets Puerto Los Cabos at `$305/night` (`$1,220` stay total), Grand Fiesta Americana at `$212/night` (`$848` stay total), Riu Palace Baja California at `$216/night` (`$864` stay total), and Solmar Resort at `$87/night` (`$348` stay total).
- Flight floors stayed competitive: LAX-SJD is `$320 RT` on KAYAK and `$340 RT` on Expedia; ONT-SJD is `$292 RT` on KAYAK and `$396 RT` on Expedia.
- Public package floors on CheapCaribbean and Apple Vacations remain in the same general band, but the accessible pages are still not surfacing a clean exact-date Feb 2027 package quote for the target stay.
- Costco Travel Los Cabos pages still expose resort details and availability, but the final package price is hidden behind the continue/login flow, so Costco remains login-required for exact quote capture.
- New options worth adding: Oceanus Sunset Party Cruise `$62`, Cabo Bash El Squid Roe light package `$425`, Cabo Bash Taboo pool island `$884`, Tierra Sagrada All Inclusive Park Pass `$188`, Day Pass - Tierra Sagrada Beach Club `$104`, Cabo Private Yacht Experience `$1,199.40`, and private luxury whale watching `$3,009`.
- Golf anchors remain useful for budget math: Cabo San Lucas Country Club twilight is `$183.60`, Palmilla is `$213.98`, and Quivira twilight is `$275`.
- Checked the `2027-02-03` through `2027-02-07` window against the latest repo baseline and current public quote surfaces.
- Biggest move: Grand Velas Los Cabos room-only floor dropped from `$1,135/night` (`$4,540` stay total) to `$533/night` (`$2,132` stay total).
- Smaller hotel drift stayed modest: Secrets is roughly flat at `$305/night`, Grand Fiesta is roughly flat at `$209/night`, Riu Palace Cabo San Lucas stayed near `$190/night`, Riu Palace Baja California stayed near `$216/night`, and Solmar stayed at `$87/night`.
- Flights stayed competitive on the public route pages: LAX-SJD is `$320 RT` on KAYAK, `$340 RT` on Expedia, and `$349 RT` on United; ONT-SJD is `$292 RT` on KAYAK, `$365 RT` on Expedia, and `$583 RT` on United.
- CheapCaribbean package floors remain in the same band: Riu Santa Fe `$568 pp`, Riu Palace Cabo San Lucas `$695 pp`, Breathless `$1,100 pp`, Secrets `$1,126 pp`, and Grand Fiesta `$1,186 pp`.
- Apple Vacations still surfaces visible Los Cabos deal floors, but the pages shown are best-priced 2026 departures rather than an exact Feb 2027 package quote: Secrets `$655 pp`, Breathless `$796 pp`, and Grand Fiesta `$790 pp`.
- Costco Travel Los Cabos pages still expose resort details and inclusions, but exact package prices remain hidden behind the continue/login flow, so Costco is still login-required for quote capture.
- New or updated add-ons worth tracking: Oceanus Sunset Party Cruise `$62`, Luxury Gourmet Sunset Cruise `$104`, Luxury Sunset Sailing `$83.30`, Cabo Bash El Squid Roe light package `$425`, Cabo Bash Taboo pool island `$910`, Cabo Wabo booth `$400`, Mandala Diamond `$2,300`, Day Pass - Tierra Sagrada Beach Club `$90`, Beach & Adventure Park `$209`, ATV `$78`, UTV `$119`, Luxury Whale Watching `$97`, Private Whale Watching `$1,504`, Private Luxury Whale Watching `$3,009`, and Cabo Private Yacht Experience `$1,199.40`.
- Golf anchors are still strong for budget math: Cabo San Lucas Country Club twilight is `$165`, Palmilla twilight is `$213.98`, and Quivira twilight is `$275`.
- Package-vs-standalone caveat still applies: keep bundled flight+hotel quotes separate from room-only, flight-only, golf, nightlife, yacht, and excursion pricing unless the bundle explicitly includes those components.
- Budget impact: the budget path still works on Riu Santa Fe plus cheap golf/nightlife/whale; the balanced path can now use Breathless plus Palmilla, Oceanus, Cabo Wabo, and a luxury whale; the splurge path remains Grand Fiesta plus Quivira, a private whale, a private yacht, the gourmet sunset cruise, and Mandala.
- No broad sold-out signal showed up on the public pages; the main missing piece remains exact-date Costco package pricing.
- Budget impact: the budget path still fits a low-$900s ceiling before extras, the balanced path stays around the low-$1.5k range, and the splurge path stays around the low-$1.9k range before bar tabs, taxis, and gratuities.
- No broad sold-out signal showed up; the remaining gap is still an exact-date package quote for the target February 2027 stay.